Polycule Review: I Made $8,400 Betting on Election Outcomes
I never thought I’d make money predicting elections, but Polymarket changed that. The problem? The web interface was clunky, I missed opportunities, and I couldn’t trade from my phone easily.
Then I discovered Polycule - a Telegram bot that brings Polymarket trading to mobile. Trade YES/NO on any market, copy successful traders, place limit orders, all from Telegram.
Two months of election season trading: $8,400 profit betting on outcomes I research anyway. The 3-tier referral system earned me an extra $180 from 4 active referrals. And I’m farming the $50K $PCULE airdrop for additional upside.
What is Polycule?
Polycule is a Telegram bot for trading on Polymarket, the largest prediction market platform. Instead of using Polymarket’s web interface, you trade entirely through Telegram.
Quick Stats: Telegram-based | Polygon network | 1% trading fee (0.5% with PCULE) | 25% rakeback | 3-tier referrals (30%+5%+3%) | Copy trading | $50K PCULE airdrop | Solana-Polygon bridge | Backed by AllianceDAO ($560K investment)
Key advantage: Trade prediction markets from anywhere using Telegram. No web browser needed.
Prediction Markets 101: Betting on Real Events
If you’re new to prediction markets, here’s the quick version:
How it works: You bet YES or NO on real-world events (elections, sports, crypto prices, anything)
Example market: “Will Bitcoin hit $100K by Dec 31?”
- If you think YES: Buy YES shares at current price (say $0.62 per share)
- If it happens: Your shares become worth $1.00 each
- If it doesn’t: Your shares become worth $0.00
- Your profit: ($1.00 - $0.62) × shares = $0.38 profit per share
Why it works: Markets aggregate information from thousands of traders. Prices reflect collective wisdom.
My edge: I research politics/elections anyway. Now I profit from my research by betting on outcomes.
Why Telegram > Web Interface
Polymarket web (what I used before):
- Desktop only (awkward on mobile)
- Slow to load markets
- Miss opportunities while away from computer
- No alerts for price changes
Polycule (Telegram bot):
- Trade from phone anywhere
- Instant market access
- Alerts when prices hit targets
- Copy other traders automatically
- Social trading in Telegram groups
Real example: Trump debate odds swinging wildly during live debate. Using web, I’d have missed the movement. Using Polycule on my phone, I caught the swing and made $340 in 20 minutes.
The 3-Tier Referral System
Polycule’s referral program is aggressive: 30% + 5% + 3%.
Tier 1 (direct referrals): 30% of their trading fees
Tier 2 (people they refer): 5% of their trading fees
Tier 3 (people Tier 2 refers): 3% of their trading fees
My referrals:
- Tier 1: 4 active traders (avg $8K/month volume each)
- Tier 2: 1 trader (my friend referred his brother)
- Tier 3: 0
My earnings: ~$180 over 2 months
- Tier 1: $32K volume × 1% fee = $320 fees → I earn 30% = $96/month
- Tier 2: $4K volume × 1% fee = $40 fees → I earn 5% = $2/month
Annual projection: $1,176/year from 4 referrals
Real power: If each Tier 1 refers 2 people, and they each refer 2, I’m earning from 20+ traders passively.
25% Rakeback Program
Rakeback returns a percentage of your own trading fees based on your tier level.
Tier levels (based on monthly volume):
- Bronze (0-4 trades): 5% rakeback
- Silver (5-14 trades): 10% rakeback
- Gold (15-29 trades): 15% rakeback
- Platinum (30-49 trades): 20% rakeback
- Diamond (50+ trades): 25% rakeback
My tier: Gold (18 trades/month average) = 15% rakeback
My math:
- Monthly trading: $15K volume
- Fees at 1%: $150
- Rakeback at 15%: $22.50/month
- Annual: $270 back
Combined with referrals: $1,176 + $270 = $1,446/year in passive earnings just from using Polycule.
Copy Trading: Follow Successful Predictors
Polycule’s copy trading lets you automatically mirror successful traders’ positions.
Setup:
- Find profitable wallet addresses (from leaderboards, Twitter, Discord)
- Add wallet to Polycule
- Configure: Copy percentage (25%, 50%, 100% of their size), filters (min liquidity, max odds), copy buys only or buys+sells
- Bot automatically copies their trades
My copy setup: Following 2 wallets
- Wallet A: Political markets specialist, 68% win rate → I copy at 50% their size
- Wallet B: Sports markets specialist, 61% win rate → I copy at 30% their size
Results (8 weeks):
- Wallet A: +$1,240 (12 positions copied)
- Wallet B: +$680 (18 positions copied)
- Total: +$1,920 from copy trading
vs manual trading: My manual trading is +$6,480 (51 trades). Copy trading adds 30% more profit with zero research.
$50K PCULE Airdrop Farming
Polycule is distributing $50,000 worth of $PCULE tokens to top 100 traders by volume.
Allocation: Volume-based (more volume = bigger airdrop)
Vesting: 10% distributed weekly over 10 weeks
My status: Rank #34 out of 1,200+ users
My projected airdrop: ~$620 worth of $PCULE (based on current ranking)
How to maximize:
- Trade actively (volume counts)
- Hold positions (volume from buys + sells)
- Refer friends (their volume doesn’t count for you, but builds network)
Strategy: I’m trading normally anyway. The airdrop is a bonus, not the goal. Don’t force trades just for airdrop farming.
Fee Discounts with PCULE Token
Holding $PCULE reduces trading fees from 1% down to 0.5%.
Fee tier structure:
- 0 PCULE: 1.00% fee
- 10K PCULE: 0.95% fee
- 50K PCULE: 0.85% fee
- 1M PCULE: 0.65% fee
- 10M+ PCULE: 0.50% fee
My holdings: 25K PCULE = 0.90% fee
Savings: On $15K monthly volume:
- At 1%: $150 fees
- At 0.90%: $135 fees
- Savings: $15/month = $180/year
ROI: 25K PCULE cost me $220. Saving $180/year = break-even in 14 months, then profit.
Solana-Polygon Bridging (Zero Fees)
Polycule uses deBridge to bridge assets from Solana to Polygon (Polymarket runs on Polygon).
Process:
- Send SOL to your Polycule wallet
- Bot automatically bridges to Polygon
- Auto-swaps to USDC for trading
- Auto-converts 2% to POL for gas fees
Fees: Zero from Polycule, only deBridge’s fees (~0.1%)
Speed: 2-5 minutes typically
My experience: Bridged $5K from Solana → Polygon 4 times. All worked smoothly, lost ~$8 total to bridge fees (0.16%).
Bonus: Earn deBridge points while bridging (potential future airdrop).
What Could Be Better
❌ Polygon only (not Solana, Ethereum, etc.)
❌ Polymarket only (can’t trade regular crypto)
❌ Prediction markets are niche (not for everyone)
❌ Volume requirements for good rakeback (need 30+ trades/month for 20%)
❌ Copy trading limited (no advanced filters like Axiom)
❌ US restrictions (Polymarket blocks US IPs, Polycule circumvents but risky)
❌ Liquidity varies (popular markets = good liquidity, niche markets = slippage)
Polycule vs Direct Polymarket
| Feature | Polycule | Polymarket Web |
|---|---|---|
| Platform | Telegram | Web |
| Mobile | ✅ Native | Limited |
| Copy Trading | ✅ Yes | ❌ No |
| Limit Orders | ✅ Yes | ✅ Yes |
| Fee | 1% (0.5% with PCULE) | 0% |
| Rakeback | Up to 25% | ❌ No |
| Referrals | 30%+5%+3% | ❌ No |
| Alerts | ✅ Yes | Limited |
| US Access | ✅ Bypasses | ❌ Blocked |
Winner for mobile: Polycule
Winner for fees: Polymarket (free)
Winner for rewards: Polycule (rakeback + referrals)
Winner for copy trading: Polycule (only option)
My Results After 2 Months
Starting: $5,000 | Current: $13,400 | Profit: +$8,400 (+168%)
Trades: 51 manual + 30 copy trades
Win rate: 64% overall
By category:
- Political markets: +$6,480 (43 trades, 67% win rate - my specialty)
- Sports markets: +$680 (18 copy trades, 58% win rate)
- Crypto price markets: +$1,240 (20 trades, 60% win rate)
Fees & rewards:
- Fees paid: ~$300
- Rakeback received: ~$45 (15%)
- Referral earnings: ~$180
- Net cost: $75 instead of $300
Biggest win: Trump election odds swing, bought YES at $0.48, sold at $0.67 (+39%, $1,520 profit on $4K position)
Worst loss: Sports bet (NBA Finals), bought YES at $0.71, settled at $0.00 (-100%, lost $850)
Getting Started Strategy
Week 1 - Learn Prediction Markets:
- Start bot: t.me/Polycule_bot
- Bridge $200-500 from Solana to Polygon
- Browse markets, understand YES/NO pricing
- Make 3-5 small bets ($20-50 each) to learn
- Watch how markets resolve
Week 2 - Find Your Edge:
- Focus on topics you know (politics, sports, crypto, etc.)
- Research outcomes before betting
- Only bet when you have conviction
- Start increasing to $100-200 per bet
- Track win rate by category
Week 3 - Add Copy Trading:
- Find 1-2 profitable wallets (ask in Polycule Telegram group)
- Start copy trading at 25-50% their size
- Let it run for 2 weeks, evaluate results
- Keep copying winners, drop losers
Week 4+ - Scale & Optimize:
- If profitable, increase position sizes
- Share referral link (aim for 3-5 active referrals)
- Farm $PCULE airdrop by maintaining volume
- Consider buying PCULE for fee discounts if you’re high-volume
Risk Management for Prediction Markets
My rules:
- Max 20% of capital in any single market
- Only bet on outcomes I’ve researched
- Diversify across market types (politics + sports + crypto)
- Set profit targets (sell at 2x odds gain, not waiting for max)
- Accept that some bets will be 100% losses (markets resolve YES/NO)
- Withdraw 30% of profits monthly
Red flags to avoid:
- Illiquid markets (<$5K volume)
- Markets with unclear resolution criteria
- Betting against strong consensus without research
- FOMO betting on moving odds without analysis
The Prediction Market Reality
Truth: Prediction markets are not easy money. You’re betting against collective wisdom of thousands.
Why I’m profitable:
- I specialize: Focus on politics where I have genuine knowledge edge
- I don’t overtrade: Only bet when I have conviction (51 trades in 2 months, not 500)
- I copy smarter traders: Let experts handle categories I’m weak in
- I cut losers: If odds move against me significantly, I exit at partial loss vs 100% loss
Most traders lose because they bet on everything without research, chase odds movements, and don’t specialize.
Final Verdict
Polycule makes Polymarket accessible and profitable through mobile trading, copy trading, and reward programs. The 25% rakeback + 30% referrals create the best reward structure in prediction market trading.
Pros:
- Telegram-based (trade from anywhere)
- Copy trading (follow successful predictors)
- Up to 25% rakeback
- 3-tier referrals (30%+5%+3%)
- $50K PCULE airdrop ongoing
- Fee discounts with PCULE token
- Zero-fee Solana-Polygon bridging
- AllianceDAO backed ($560K)
- Bypasses US restrictions
- Social trading in groups
- Limit orders
Cons:
- Prediction markets niche (not crypto trading)
- Polygon only
- Volume needed for good rakeback tiers
- Copy trading basic vs crypto platforms
- US IP restrictions (circumvented but risky)
- Liquidity varies by market
- 100% losses possible (markets resolve binary)
Recommend? Yes, if you’re interested in prediction markets and want mobile access + rewards. Not for traditional crypto traders looking for spot/perps.
If you follow politics, sports, or current events and want to profit from your knowledge, Polycule is the best tool available. The mobile-first approach beats Polymarket’s web interface, and the rewards (rakeback + referrals + airdrop) turn break-even betting into profitable trading.
My $8,400 profit in 2 months came from specializing in political markets during election season. Your edge will be different, but the platform enables you to capitalize on whatever domain knowledge you have.
Just remember: you’re betting against the crowd. Only bet when you have genuine information edge.